Birth Model¶

Data¶

To obtain the population data for each year, we used two tables from Statistics Canada:

Past Data: 1999 - 2021¶

For past years, we used Table 17-10-00005-01 from Statistics Canada. This is data that the Canadian government collects and publishes on the population of the country, stratified by different variables.

The *.csv file can be downloaded from here: 17100005-eng.zip

and is saved as: LEAP/leap/original_data/17100005.csv.

The relevant columns are:

Column	Type	Description
`REF_DATE`	`int`	the calendar year
`AGE_GROUP`	`str`	the age of the person in years
`GEO`	`str`	the province or terriroty full name
`SEX`	`str`	one of “Both sexes”, “Females”, or “Males”
`VALUE`	`int`	the population in that year, province, sex, and age group

Projected Data: 2021 - 2065¶

For future years, we used Table 17-10-0057-01 from Statistics Canada. Statistic Canada provides projected population data based on different projection scenarios.

The *.csv file can be downloaded from here: 17100057-eng.zip

and is saved as: LEAP/leap/original_data/17100057.csv.

The relevant columns are:

Column	Type	Description
`REF_DATE`	`int`	the calendar year
`AGE_GROUP`	`str`	the age of the person in years
`GEO`	`str`	the province or terriroty full name
`Sex`	`str`	one of “Both sexes”, “Females”, or “Males”
`Projection scenario`	`str`	the projection scenario used to model population growth: `LG`: low-growth projection `HG`: high-growth projection `M1`: medium-growth 1 projection `M2`: medium-growth 2 projection `M3`: medium-growth 3 projection `M4`: medium-growth 4 projection `M5`: medium-growth 5 projection `M6`: medium-growth 6 projection `FA`: fast-aging projection `SA`: slow-aging projection
`VALUE`	`int`	the population in that year, province, sex, age group, and projection scenario